Tennis · Challenger Todi · 12/08, 10:00
Prediction: Marco Cecchinato vs Francesco Forti
Team pages: Marco Cecchinato · Francesco Forti
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Cecchinato
Francesco Forti
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Cecchinato
8-2 (W-L)
Francesco Forti
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Cecchinato
1–0
Francesco Forti
(1 last)
- 11 Aug2-1 19-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Cecchinato 1553 · Francesco Forti 1488
| Marco Cecchinato | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marco Cecchinato (rating 1553 vs 1488).
- Marco Cecchinato is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Marco Cecchinato 1–0 Francesco Forti (1).
Statistics
| Marco Cecchinato | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.1 | 11.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Marco Cecchinato 1 – 0 Francesco Forti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Cecchinato 1–0 Francesco Forti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/22 Challenger San Marino | 2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Cecchinato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Duje Ajdukovic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 04/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Francesco Forti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Federico Coria Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Federico Zeballos Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Peter Makk Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Pietro Pampanin Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Cecchinato vs Francesco Forti?
Our model gives 63% to Marco Cecchinato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.