Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 11/08, 11:00
Prediction: Antonia Rivera vs Darya Astakhova
Team pages: Antonia Rivera · Darya Astakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Antonia Rivera
Darya Astakhova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Antonia Rivera
5-5 (W-L)
Darya Astakhova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antonia Rivera 1531 · Darya Astakhova 1486
| Antonia Rivera | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antonia Rivera (rating 1531 vs 1486).
Statistics
| Antonia Rivera | Darya Astakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.4 | 8.5-10.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 55% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antonia Rivera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Kristina Penickova W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Mayu Crossley W35 Florence |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Krisha Mahendran W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Taylor Gruber W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Chiara Di Genova W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/06 | Josefina Estevez W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Darya Astakhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Xinxin Yao W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Chloe Paquet WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antonia Rivera vs Darya Astakhova?
Our model gives 63% to Darya Astakhova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.