Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: Katarina Zavatska vs Giorgia Pedone
Team pages: Katarina Zavatska · Giorgia Pedone
Prediction summary
Winner
Katarina Zavatska
Giorgia Pedone
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Katarina Zavatska
6-4 (W-L)
Giorgia Pedone
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katarina Zavatska 1574 · Giorgia Pedone 1635
| Katarina Zavatska | Giorgia Pedone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giorgia Pedone (rating 1574 vs 1635).
- Katarina Zavatska dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 57.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Katarina Zavatska | Giorgia Pedone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-12.1 | 13.3-7.6 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 54.5% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katarina Zavatska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Gabriela Ce W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Rositsa Dencheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Lea Boskovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/05 | Darja Semenistaja French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Carol Zhao French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/05 | Mai Hontama W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/05 | Aneta Kucmova W75 Trnava |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/05 | Himeno Sakatsume W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Chloe Paquet W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Giorgia Pedone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Alina Granwehr W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Chacabuco |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Chacabuco |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/08 | Josefina Estevez W35 Chacabuco |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Sofia Meabe W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/08 | Carolina Alves W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Lorena Schaedel W35 Pergamino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katarina Zavatska vs Giorgia Pedone?
Our model gives 55% to Giorgia Pedone, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.