Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 20/08, 13:00

Prediction: Samira De Stefano vs Miriam Bulgaru

Team pages: Samira De Stefano · Miriam Bulgaru

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Samira De Stefano Miriam Bulgaru
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Samira De Stefano 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLLLWW
Miriam Bulgaru 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Samira De Stefano 1505 · Miriam Bulgaru 1441
Samira De StefanoMiriam Bulgaru
Our model59%41%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samira De Stefano (rating 1505 vs 1441).

Statistics

Samira De StefanoMiriam Bulgaru
Win %50%30%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.20.6-1.5
Games (G-P)10.9-11.87.8-10.5
Aces0.10.9
Double faults3.23.7
1st serve %57.4%55.4%
Break %41.1%54.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Samira De Stefano

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Antonia Rivera
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W
13/08 Alicia Herrero Linana
W50 Hamburg
1-2 14-13 L
11/08 Francesca Parcelli
W50 Hamburg
2-1 16-12 W
28/07 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W75 Hechingen
1-2 15-19 L
23/07 Loes Ebeling Koning
W50 Horb
0-2 3-12 L
21/07 Tamila Gadamauri
W50 Horb
2-0 13-9 W
04/05 Daria Snigur
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/04 Lisa Pigato
W75 Chiasso · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
24/04 Tereza Martincova
W75 Chiasso · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
23/04 Ayla Aksu
W75 Chiasso · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W

Miriam Bulgaru

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Natalija Senic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Carole Monnet
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
23/07 Francesca Jones
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
21/07 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-1 15-9 W
14/07 Elena Pridankina
WTA Iasi · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
08/07 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Bastad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Valeriya Strakhova
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Petra Sedlackova
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
24/06 Weronika Ewald
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/06 Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Samira De Stefano vs Miriam Bulgaru?

Our model gives 58% to Samira De Stefano, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.