Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 12/08, 10:00
Prediction: Rositsa Dencheva vs Natalija Senic
Team pages: Rositsa Dencheva · Natalija Senic
Prediction summary
Winner
Rositsa Dencheva
Natalija Senic
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Rositsa Dencheva
7-3 (W-L)
Natalija Senic
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rositsa Dencheva
3–1
Natalija Senic
(4 last)
- 26 Feb2-0 12-6W
- 24 Sept2-1 15-9W
- 13 Aug2-0 12-4W
- 10 Aug0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rositsa Dencheva 1579 · Natalija Senic 1620
| Rositsa Dencheva | Natalija Senic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natalija Senic (rating 1579 vs 1620).
- Head-to-head: Rositsa Dencheva 3–1 Natalija Senic (4).
Statistics
| Rositsa Dencheva | Natalija Senic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.5 | 1.9-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7.2 | 12.2-4.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 58% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 62.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
H2H · Rositsa Dencheva 3 – 1 Natalija Senic (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rositsa Dencheva 3–1 Natalija Senic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/25 W35 Antalya | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09/24 W75 Kursumlijska Banja | 2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 13/08/24 W75 Kursumlijska Banja | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/08/24 W15 Kursumlijska Banja | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rositsa Dencheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Julie Struplova W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria Golovina W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Sofya Lansere W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Anja Stankovic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Briana Szabo W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/05 | Lina Glushko W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Natalija Senic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/08 | Tereza Vajsejtlova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Olga Bienzobas Fernandez UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Karolina Krajmer UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Juliana Singeorzan UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Natalie Cinkova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Lana Virc W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Divna Ratkovic UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rositsa Dencheva vs Natalija Senic?
Our model gives 52% to Rositsa Dencheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.