Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 12/08, 10:30
Prediction: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Philip Henning
Team pages: Bernardo Munk Mesa · Philip Henning
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Philip Henning
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Bernardo Munk Mesa
3-7 (W-L)
Philip Henning
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1442 · Philip Henning 1460
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-13.1 | 9.6-11.7 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 5 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 60% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 19/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Mikel Martinez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/02 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/02 | Timofey Stepanov UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Philip Henning?
Our model gives 71% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.