Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 12/08, 10:30
Prediction: Matias Reyniak vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Team pages: Matias Reyniak · Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Prediction summary
Winner
Matias Reyniak
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Reyniak
5-5 (W-L)
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matias Reyniak 1530 · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1502
| Matias Reyniak | Rafael Izquierdo Luque | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matias Reyniak | Rafael Izquierdo Luque | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.3 | 10.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 30.8% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matias Reyniak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Lefteri Apostolou M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Mae Malige M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Arda Azkara M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Theo Herrmann M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Diogo Morais M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Dan Added M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Thomas Miranda M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matias Reyniak vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque?
Our model gives 65% to Rafael Izquierdo Luque, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.