Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 12/08, 10:30
Prediction: Rodrigo Leal vs Tiago Pereira
Team pages: Rodrigo Leal · Tiago Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Leal
Tiago Pereira
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Leal
6-4 (W-L)
Tiago Pereira
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rodrigo Leal
0–1
Tiago Pereira
(1 last)
- 07 May0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Leal 1518 · Tiago Pereira 1552
| Rodrigo Leal | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Rodrigo Leal 0–1 Tiago Pereira (1).
Statistics
| Rodrigo Leal | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10 | 13.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Rodrigo Leal 0 – 1 Tiago Pereira (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rodrigo Leal 0–1 Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/26 M25 Loule | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Leal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Salvador Monteiro M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Joao Mendes M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Joao Portugal M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Jeffrey Fradkin M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Tiago Pereira M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/05 | Otso Martikainen M25 Loule · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 28/04 | Patrick Schoen M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Alan Wazny M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Massimo Pizzigoni M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Hrazdil M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Leal vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model gives 74% to Tiago Pereira, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.