Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 12/08, 10:30

Prediction: Benjamin Pietri vs Tristan McCormick

Team pages: Benjamin Pietri · Tristan McCormick

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Benjamin Pietri Tristan McCormick
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Pietri 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLLLWW
Tristan McCormick 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benjamin Pietri 1535 · Tristan McCormick 1492
Benjamin PietriTristan McCormick
Our model56%44%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Pietri (rating 1535 vs 1492).
  • Note: Benjamin Pietri makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Benjamin PietriTristan McCormick
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 75% (4) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.3-1.1
Games (G-P)12.5-11.311.5-11.4
Aces1.52.9
Double faults4.23.3
1st serve %67.5%73.7%
Break %59.2%56.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benjamin Pietri

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 Izan Almazan Valiente
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
06/08 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
05/08 Alafia Ayeni
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
04/08 Julio Cesar Porras
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W
20/07 Lui Maxted
M15 Rognac
0-2 8-13 L
09/07 Florent Bax
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 6-13 L
08/07 Pablo Pradat
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Matisse Bobichon
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
02/07 Mathieu Scaglia
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
30/06 Peter Buldorini
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 15-9 W

Tristan McCormick

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Izan Almazan Valiente
M25 Tauste · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
29/07 Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Edwardsville
1-2 11-16 L
23/07 William Mroz Mroz
M25 Champaign
0-2 6-12 L
22/07 Kyle Mcnally
M25 Champaign
2-1 17-14 W
19/07 Michael Antonius
M15 Rochester
1-2 9-15 L
18/07 Jerrid Gaines Jr
M15 Rochester
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Benjamin Willwerth
M15 Rochester
2-0 12-7 W
17/07 Sulaiman Syed
M15 Rochester
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Noah Johnston
M15 Rochester
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Facundo Mena
Challenger Bogota · Clay
1-2 15-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benjamin Pietri vs Tristan McCormick?

Our model gives 51% to Tristan McCormick, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.