Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 12/08, 10:30

Prediction: Robin Bertrand vs Tiago Silva

Team pages: Robin Bertrand · Tiago Silva

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Robin Bertrand Tiago Silva
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Robin Bertrand 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWWWWL
Tiago Silva 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Robin Bertrand 1497 · Tiago Silva 1505
Robin BertrandTiago Silva
Our model49%51%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Tiago Silva makes many double faults (6.3/match).

Statistics

Robin BertrandTiago Silva
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.4-0.9
Games (G-P)10.6-10.311.4-10
Aces1.83
Double faults2.86.3
1st serve %67.3%70.9%
Break %52%48.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Robin Bertrand

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
09/07 Oliver Crawford
M25 Roda de Bara
1-2 10-16 L
08/07 Takuya Kumasaka
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Alexander Bravo
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-1 W
25/06 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
1-2 10-16 L
24/06 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/06 Matt Ponchet
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/06 Raphael Perot
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
09/06 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Challenger Lyon · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/06 Giles Hussey
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 13-17 L

Tiago Silva

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/08 Jeffrey Fradkin
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-7 W
15/07 Lucas Marionneau
M15 Castelo Branco
0-2 11-14 L
16/06 Joao Dinis Silva
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
1-2 9-16 L
15/06 Miguel Semedo
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
10/06 Diego Fernandez Flores
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
09/06 Augusto Mateo Lucarelli
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
02/06 Luke Hooper
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-18 L
22/02 Paris Pouatcha
UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
21/02 Jordan Chiu
UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
21/02 Robin Boeckli
UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Robin Bertrand vs Tiago Silva?

Our model gives 66% to Robin Bertrand, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.