Tennis · Challenger Todi · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Alex Barrena vs Georgii Kravchenko
Team pages: Alex Barrena · Georgii Kravchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Barrena
Georgii Kravchenko
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Barrena
2-8 (W-L)
Georgii Kravchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Barrena 1477 · Georgii Kravchenko 1531
| Alex Barrena | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Georgii Kravchenko (rating 1477 vs 1531).
Statistics
| Alex Barrena | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.1 | 11.5-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Georgii Kravchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Jakub Nicod Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Lorenzo Lorusso Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Barrena vs Georgii Kravchenko?
Our model gives 50% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.