Tennis · Challenger Todi · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro
Team pages: Carlo Alberto Caniato · Francesco Passaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Francesco Passaro
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Carlo Alberto Caniato
5-5 (W-L)
Francesco Passaro
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1467 · Francesco Passaro 1450
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.9 | 10.9-13.2 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Federico Cecconi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Francesco Passaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maks Kasnikowski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro?
Our model gives 51% to Francesco Passaro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.