Tennis · Challenger Todi · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nikita Mashtakov
Team pages: Oriol Roca Batalla · Nikita Mashtakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Oriol Roca Batalla
Nikita Mashtakov
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oriol Roca Batalla
6-4 (W-L)
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oriol Roca Batalla 1506 · Nikita Mashtakov 1573
| Oriol Roca Batalla | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Mashtakov (rating 1506 vs 1573).
Statistics
| Oriol Roca Batalla | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10 | 12.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oriol Roca Batalla
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Niklas Guttau M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Daniel Masur Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Samuele Seghetti Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Mihai Razvan Marinescu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Sebastian Sec M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Bor Artnak M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Sean Cuenin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Samuil Chestovaliev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nikita Mashtakov?
Our model gives 58% to Oriol Roca Batalla, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.