Tennis · Challenger Todi · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Francesco Forti vs Michele Mecarelli
Team pages: Francesco Forti · Michele Mecarelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Forti
Michele Mecarelli
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Forti
7-3 (W-L)
Michele Mecarelli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Forti 1471 · Michele Mecarelli 1504
| Francesco Forti | Michele Mecarelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Francesco Forti | Michele Mecarelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.6 | 12.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 70% |
| Break % | 38% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Forti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Federico Coria Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Federico Zeballos Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Peter Makk Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Pietro Pampanin Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Michele Mecarelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Eero Vasa Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Daniele Minighini M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Andrea Tognolini M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Forti vs Michele Mecarelli?
Our model gives 61% to Francesco Forti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.