Tennis · W15 Astana · 12/08, 07:00
Prediction: Arina Arifullina vs Satima Toregen
Team pages: Arina Arifullina · Satima Toregen
Prediction summary
Winner
Arina Arifullina
Satima Toregen
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Arifullina
7-3 (W-L)
Satima Toregen
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arina Arifullina 1559 · Satima Toregen 1496
| Arina Arifullina | Satima Toregen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Arifullina (rating 1559 vs 1496).
- Note: Satima Toregen makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Arina Arifullina | Satima Toregen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-6.8 | 8.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 59% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arina Arifullina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Su Jeong Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Anna Donnell W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Lucie Pawlak W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Satima Toregen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Kira Bataikina W15 Astana |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Aglaya Fedorova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 7-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Leonie Rabl W15 Astana |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Sabrina Olimjanova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Anjali Rathi W15 Astana |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Albina Kakenova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/06 | Ingkar Dyussebay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Demi Tran W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arina Arifullina vs Satima Toregen?
Our model gives 74% to Arina Arifullina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.