Tennis · Challenger Todi · 10/08, 11:30
Prediction: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Gabriele Crivellaro
Team pages: Carlo Alberto Caniato · Gabriele Crivellaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Gabriele Crivellaro
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Carlo Alberto Caniato
5-5 (W-L)
Gabriele Crivellaro
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1445 · Gabriele Crivellaro 1520
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Crivellaro (rating 1445 vs 1520).
- Gabriele Crivellaro is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.5 | 10.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/06 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Justin Schlageter M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Adrian Andreev M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Gabriele Crivellaro?
Our model gives 62% to Carlo Alberto Caniato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.