Tennis · Challenger Todi · 10/08, 10:00
Prediction: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Nikita Mashtakov
Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianmarco Ferrari
Nikita Mashtakov
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gianmarco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianmarco Ferrari 1537 · Nikita Mashtakov 1566
| Gianmarco Ferrari | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gianmarco Ferrari | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.2 | 11.6-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianmarco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Edoardo Betti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Gabriele Bosio Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Oliver Crawford M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Sebastian Sec M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Bor Artnak M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Sean Cuenin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Samuil Chestovaliev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Karlo Kajin M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianmarco Ferrari vs Nikita Mashtakov?
Our model gives 52% to Gianmarco Ferrari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.