Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 10/08, 10:00
Prediction: Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Ksenia Zaytseva
Team pages: Lucija Ciric Bagaric · Ksenia Zaytseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Ksenia Zaytseva
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
6-4 (W-L)
Ksenia Zaytseva
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
1–0
Ksenia Zaytseva
(1 last)
- 30 Jul2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1544 · Ksenia Zaytseva 1614
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Ksenia Zaytseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ksenia Zaytseva (rating 1544 vs 1614).
- Ksenia Zaytseva is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1–0 Ksenia Zaytseva (1).
Statistics
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | Ksenia Zaytseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.3 | 13.4-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 63.2% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1 – 0 Ksenia Zaytseva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1–0 Ksenia Zaytseva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/24 W75 Cordenons | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Bianca E Barbulescu W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Rachel Gailis WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Maria Toma W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Ksenia Zaytseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Dusica Popovski W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Natalija Senic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Nancy Lee W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Ksenia Zaytseva?
Our model gives 52% to Ksenia Zaytseva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.