Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Natalija Senic vs Miriam Bulgaru
Team pages: Natalija Senic · Miriam Bulgaru
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalija Senic
Miriam Bulgaru
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Natalija Senic
8-2 (W-L)
Miriam Bulgaru
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Natalija Senic
0–1
Miriam Bulgaru
(1 last)
- 06 Aug0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalija Senic 1576 · Miriam Bulgaru 1429
| Natalija Senic | Miriam Bulgaru | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natalija Senic (rating 1576 vs 1429).
- Natalija Senic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Natalija Senic 0–1 Miriam Bulgaru (1).
Statistics
| Natalija Senic | Miriam Bulgaru | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-4.8 | 7.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 50.3% | 55.9% |
| Break % | 65.8% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
H2H · Natalija Senic 0 – 1 Miriam Bulgaru (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Natalija Senic 0–1 Miriam Bulgaru
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/25 ITF W35 Kursumlijska Banja | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalija Senic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Rositsa Dencheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/08 | Tereza Vajsejtlova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Olga Bienzobas Fernandez UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Karolina Krajmer UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Juliana Singeorzan UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Natalie Cinkova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Lana Virc W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Miriam Bulgaru
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Carole Monnet WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Elena Pridankina WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Weronika Ewald W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Danka Kovinic WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalija Senic vs Miriam Bulgaru?
Our model gives 64% to Natalija Senic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.