Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 18/08, 11:00
Prediction: Katarina Zavatska vs Gabriela Ce
Team pages: Katarina Zavatska · Gabriela Ce
Prediction summary
Winner
Katarina Zavatska
Gabriela Ce
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Katarina Zavatska
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriela Ce
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katarina Zavatska
1–1
Gabriela Ce
(2 last)
- 20 Jul1-2 15-17L
- 05 Jul2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katarina Zavatska 1575 · Gabriela Ce 1497
| Katarina Zavatska | Gabriela Ce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katarina Zavatska (rating 1575 vs 1497).
- Katarina Zavatska dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 53.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Katarina Zavatska | Gabriela Ce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.1-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-12 | 9.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 9.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 54.7% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Katarina Zavatska 1 – 1 Gabriela Ce (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katarina Zavatska 1–1 Gabriela Ce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/19 WTA Palermo | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 05/07/19 ITF W25 Biella | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katarina Zavatska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Rositsa Dencheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Lea Boskovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/05 | Darja Semenistaja French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Carol Zhao French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/05 | Mai Hontama W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/05 | Aneta Kucmova W75 Trnava |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/05 | Himeno Sakatsume W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Chloe Paquet W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/05 | Jeline Vandromme W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Gabriela Ce
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Jenny Lim W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Sofia Shapatava W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-1 | 2-7 | L |
| 23/07 | Mia Ristic W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Martha Matoula W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Anja Casari W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Torino |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Luna Vujovic W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katarina Zavatska vs Gabriela Ce?
Our model gives 62% to Katarina Zavatska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.