Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Lea Boskovic vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Team pages: Lea Boskovic · Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Prediction summary
Winner
Lea Boskovic
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lea Boskovic
7-3 (W-L)
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lea Boskovic
1–0
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
(1 last)
- 25 Jun2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lea Boskovic 1505 · Lucija Ciric Bagaric 1546
| Lea Boskovic | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucija Ciric Bagaric (rating 1505 vs 1546).
- Head-to-head: Lea Boskovic 1–0 Lucija Ciric Bagaric (1).
- Note: Lucija Ciric Bagaric makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Lea Boskovic | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.1 | 10.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 65% |
| Break % | 59.1% | 71.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Lea Boskovic 1 – 0 Lucija Ciric Bagaric (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lea Boskovic 1–0 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/24 Wimbledon Women | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lea Boskovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Katarina Zavatska W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Dominika Salkova W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Diletta Cherubini W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Eva Vedder W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Jenny Lim W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Raluca Georgiana Serban W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Antonia Stoyanov W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Lana Virc W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Bianca E Barbulescu W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Rachel Gailis WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lea Boskovic vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric?
Our model gives 53% to Lucija Ciric Bagaric, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.