Tennis · Challenger Todi · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Duje Ajdukovic
Team pages: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · Duje Ajdukovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Duje Ajdukovic
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
4-6 (W-L)
Duje Ajdukovic
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 1482 · Duje Ajdukovic 1437
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | Duje Ajdukovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi (rating 1482 vs 1437).
Statistics
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | Duje Ajdukovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.4 | 10.5-13.2 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Duje Ajdukovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Marco Cecchinato ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Radu Albot Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 15/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Ivan Biletic M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 04/06 | Dylan Dietrich M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Duje Ajdukovic?
Our model gives 55% to Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.