Tennis · Challenger Todi · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Murkel Dellien vs Daniel Elahi Galan
Team pages: Murkel Dellien · Daniel Elahi Galan
Prediction summary
Winner
Murkel Dellien
Daniel Elahi Galan
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Murkel Dellien
3-7 (W-L)
Daniel Elahi Galan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Murkel Dellien 1491 · Daniel Elahi Galan 1561
| Murkel Dellien | Daniel Elahi Galan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Elahi Galan (rating 1491 vs 1561).
Statistics
| Murkel Dellien | Daniel Elahi Galan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.4 | 12.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Murkel Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Jack Loge M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Jip Van Assendelft M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Jose Pereira M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Victor Bini M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Enzo Lima M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Tomas Martinez M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/05 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Georgi Georgiev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/07 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Abel Forger Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Murkel Dellien vs Daniel Elahi Galan?
Our model gives 71% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.