Tennis · Challenger Todi · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Gabriele Piraino
Team pages: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · Gabriele Piraino
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Gabriele Piraino
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
5-5 (W-L)
Gabriele Piraino
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
1–0
Gabriele Piraino
(1 last)
- 07 Oct2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1481 · Gabriele Piraino 1566
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Gabriele Piraino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Piraino (rating 1481 vs 1566).
- Gabriele Piraino is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1–0 Gabriele Piraino (1).
- Note: Gabriele Piraino makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Gabriele Piraino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-13.5 | 12.8-10 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1 – 0 Gabriele Piraino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1–0 Gabriele Piraino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/23 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Eero Vasa Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Norbert Gombos ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Gabriele Piraino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/08 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Gabriele Piraino?
Our model gives 51% to Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.