Tennis · Challenger Todi · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Marco Cecchinato vs Nick Hardt
Team pages: Marco Cecchinato · Nick Hardt
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Cecchinato
Nick Hardt
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Cecchinato
7-3 (W-L)
Nick Hardt
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Cecchinato 1533 · Nick Hardt 1577
| Marco Cecchinato | Nick Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nick Hardt (rating 1533 vs 1577).
- Note: Nick Hardt makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Marco Cecchinato | Nick Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.6 | 13.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 59.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Cecchinato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Duje Ajdukovic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 04/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Nick Hardt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Oliveira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Cecchinato vs Nick Hardt?
Our model gives 55% to Marco Cecchinato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.