Tennis · Challenger Todi · 09/08, 11:30
Prediction: Franco Ribero vs Nikita Mashtakov
Team pages: Franco Ribero · Nikita Mashtakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Franco Ribero
Nikita Mashtakov
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Ribero
7-3 (W-L)
Nikita Mashtakov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franco Ribero 1504 · Nikita Mashtakov 1543
| Franco Ribero | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Franco Ribero | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.2 | 10.9-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 59% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franco Ribero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Alessio Basile Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Benoit Geldof Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Sebastian Sec M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Bor Artnak M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Sean Cuenin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Samuil Chestovaliev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Karlo Kajin M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/05 | Maks Kasnikowski M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franco Ribero vs Nikita Mashtakov?
Our model gives 56% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.