Tennis · Challenger Todi · 09/08, 13:00
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Federico Arnaboldi
Team pages: Gabriele Crivellaro · Federico Arnaboldi
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Federico Arnaboldi
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
5-5 (W-L)
Federico Arnaboldi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gabriele Crivellaro
0–1
Federico Arnaboldi
(1 last)
- 17 Feb0-2 5-11L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1500 · Federico Arnaboldi 1528
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Gabriele Crivellaro 0–1 Federico Arnaboldi (1).
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.3 | 11.4-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 70% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Gabriele Crivellaro 0 – 1 Federico Arnaboldi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gabriele Crivellaro 0–1 Federico Arnaboldi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 M25 Trento | 0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Justin Schlageter M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Adrian Andreev M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Federico Arnaboldi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Peter Buldorini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Peetu Pohjola Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Federico Arnaboldi?
Our model gives 67% to Federico Arnaboldi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.