Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn Women · 08/08, 17:30
Prediction: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Ava Esposito Cogan
Team pages: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova · Ava Esposito Cogan
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Ava Esposito Cogan
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
7-3 (W-L)
Ava Esposito Cogan
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Khayrutdinova 1567 · Ava Esposito Cogan 1627
| Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | Ava Esposito Cogan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ava Esposito Cogan (rating 1567 vs 1627).
- Note: Ava Esposito Cogan makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | Ava Esposito Cogan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-6.4 | 12.8-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 59% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Lucia Donnelly UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Marina Davtyan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Alana Boyce UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Esther Lovato UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Annika Penickova W35 Florence |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Brandelyn Fulgenzi W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Ava Esposito Cogan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Ireland O'Brien UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Hayley Roberts UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Zoe Hammond UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Khayrutdinova vs Ava Esposito Cogan?
Our model gives 66% to Ekaterina Khayrutdinova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.