Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 07/08, 16:00
Prediction: Lucas Poullain vs Kenta Miyoshi
Team pages: Lucas Poullain · Kenta Miyoshi
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Poullain
Kenta Miyoshi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Poullain
4-6 (W-L)
Kenta Miyoshi
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Poullain 1496 · Kenta Miyoshi 1618
| Lucas Poullain | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Miyoshi (rating 1496 vs 1618).
- Kenta Miyoshi is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lucas Poullain | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.2 | 12.7-7.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Dan Added Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Dan Added Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Isaac Becroft M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Vadym Ursu M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Mathieu Scaglia M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Loann Massard Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Arda Azkara Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Dan Added Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Melih Anavatan Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Anton Chekhov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Poullain vs Kenta Miyoshi?
Our model gives 67% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.