Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Kenta Miyoshi vs Mert Alkaya
Team pages: Kenta Miyoshi · Mert Alkaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Kenta Miyoshi
Mert Alkaya
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Miyoshi
9-1 (W-L)
Mert Alkaya
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kenta Miyoshi 1589 · Mert Alkaya 1517
| Kenta Miyoshi | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Miyoshi (rating 1589 vs 1517).
- Kenta Miyoshi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kenta Miyoshi | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.7 | 11.8-11 |
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Arda Azkara Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Hunter Heck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Dan Added Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Melih Anavatan Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Anton Chekhov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Renta Tokuda Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Mert Alkaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Porto |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kenta Miyoshi vs Mert Alkaya?
Our model gives 55% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.