Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 07/08, 11:00
Prediction: Ilia Simakin vs Florent Bax
Team pages: Ilia Simakin · Florent Bax
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilia Simakin
Florent Bax
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ilia Simakin
3-7 (W-L)
Florent Bax
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ilia Simakin
0–1
Florent Bax
(1 last)
- 29 Dec0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilia Simakin 1511 · Florent Bax 1542
| Ilia Simakin | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ilia Simakin 0–1 Florent Bax (1).
Statistics
| Ilia Simakin | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-13.6 | 13.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 31% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
H2H · Ilia Simakin 0 – 1 Florent Bax (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilia Simakin 0–1 Florent Bax
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/23 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilia Simakin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/06 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Florent Bax
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Arthur Weber Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Dan Added Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxence Rivet M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Lenny Couturier M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilia Simakin vs Florent Bax?
Our model gives 52% to Ilia Simakin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.