Tennis · W15 Astana · 07/08, 08:30
Prediction: Arina Arifullina vs Ha Eum Lee
Team pages: Arina Arifullina · Ha Eum Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Arina Arifullina
Ha Eum Lee
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Arifullina
7-3 (W-L)
Ha Eum Lee
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arina Arifullina 1553 · Ha Eum Lee 1493
| Arina Arifullina | Ha Eum Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Arifullina (rating 1553 vs 1493).
Statistics
| Arina Arifullina | Ha Eum Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-7.6 | 9.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arina Arifullina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Anna Donnell W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Lucie Pawlak W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Carol Plakk W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Sun Min Ha W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Ha Eum Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Maria Mikhailova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Alisa Ziatdinova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Shiyu Ye W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 01/07 | Jiyun Oh W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Dayeon Back W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Dabin Kim W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arina Arifullina vs Ha Eum Lee?
Our model gives 53% to Ha Eum Lee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.