Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 07/08, 10:00
Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieri
Team pages: Michele Ribecai · Andrea Guerrieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Ribecai
Andrea Guerrieri
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Ribecai
7-3 (W-L)
Andrea Guerrieri
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michele Ribecai
1–1
Andrea Guerrieri
(2 last)
- 03 Apr2-0 12-6W
- 18 Feb1-2 9-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1432 · Andrea Guerrieri 1510
| Michele Ribecai | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Guerrieri (rating 1432 vs 1510).
- Andrea Guerrieri is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Michele Ribecai | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 13% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.5 | 10.7-10 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 37% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Michele Ribecai 1 – 1 Andrea Guerrieri (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michele Ribecai 1–1 Andrea Guerrieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Challenger Barletta | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/02/26 M25 Trento | 1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Ribecai
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Hugo Dellien ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Andrea Guerrieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Luca Nardi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | David Goffin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Our model gives 56% to Andrea Guerrieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.