Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 06/08, 11:00
Prediction: Alexander Donski vs Daniil Glinka
Team pages: Alexander Donski · Daniil Glinka
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Donski
Daniil Glinka
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Donski
7-3 (W-L)
Daniil Glinka
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Donski
1–0
Daniil Glinka
(1 last)
- 02 Aug2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Donski 1582 · Daniil Glinka 1511
| Alexander Donski | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Donski (rating 1582 vs 1511).
- Alexander Donski dominates on serve: 8 aces and 48.9% break avg.
- Alexander Donski is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Donski 1–0 Daniil Glinka (1).
- Note: Daniil Glinka makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Donski | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.7 | 12.2-13.9 |
| Aces | 8 | 9.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 26.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Alexander Donski 1 – 0 Daniil Glinka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Donski 1–0 Daniil Glinka
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/19 ITF M15 Telavi | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Donski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Jiri Cizek Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Erik Grevelius Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Daniil Glinka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Amit Vales Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 22/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/06 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Donski vs Daniil Glinka?
Our model gives 58% to Daniil Glinka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.