Tennis · W75 Ourense · 06/08, 11:00
Prediction: Francisca Jorge vs Kira Pavlova
Team pages: Francisca Jorge · Kira Pavlova
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisca Jorge
Kira Pavlova
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Francisca Jorge
6-4 (W-L)
Kira Pavlova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francisca Jorge
1–0
Kira Pavlova
(1 last)
- 09 Jul2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisca Jorge 1520 · Kira Pavlova 1514
| Francisca Jorge | Kira Pavlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Francisca Jorge 1–0 Kira Pavlova (1).
- Note: Kira Pavlova makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Francisca Jorge | Kira Pavlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10 | 9.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Francisca Jorge 1 – 0 Kira Pavlova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francisca Jorge 1–0 Kira Pavlova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 W50 Corroios-Seixal | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisca Jorge
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Zongyu Li W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Francesca Curmi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Kira Pavlova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Elena Micic W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Dalma Galfi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Elena Micic WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Kira Pavlova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Eva Alvarez Sande W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Martyna Kubka W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Zoziya Kardava W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Francisca Jorge W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Gabriela Agra Amorim W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Yidi Yang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Varvara Panshina W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisca Jorge vs Kira Pavlova?
Our model gives 59% to Francisca Jorge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.