Tennis · W75 Ourense · 07/08, 10:00
Prediction: Rina Saigo vs Daria Khomutsianskaya
Team pages: Rina Saigo · Daria Khomutsianskaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Rina Saigo
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Rina Saigo
6-4 (W-L)
Daria Khomutsianskaya
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rina Saigo 1592 · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1525
| Rina Saigo | Daria Khomutsianskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rina Saigo (rating 1592 vs 1525).
Statistics
| Rina Saigo | Daria Khomutsianskaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.4 | 9.5-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 65.1% | 56.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rina Saigo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Viktoria Morvayova W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 02/08 | Adithya Karunaratne W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Linda Klimovicova W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Angella Okutoyi W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Sophia Hurrion W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Veronika Podrez WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Victoria Bervid WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Elyse Tse W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Saumya Vig WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Linda Klimovicova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rina Saigo vs Daria Khomutsianskaya?
Our model gives 52% to Rina Saigo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.