Tennis · W75 Ourense · 06/08, 10:00

Prediction: Greet Minnen vs Carmen Gallardo Guevara

Team pages: Greet Minnen · Carmen Gallardo Guevara

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Greet Minnen Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Greet Minnen 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWWLLW
Carmen Gallardo Guevara 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Greet Minnen 1532 · Carmen Gallardo Guevara 1560
Greet MinnenCarmen Gallardo Guevara
Our model46%54%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Greet MinnenCarmen Gallardo Guevara
Win %60%70%
Win % · Grass 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.3-0.8
Games (G-P)10.5-910.8-8.9
Aces2.20.7
Double faults3.42.8
1st serve %67.8%59.8%
Break %47.4%46.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Greet Minnen

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Sahaja Yamalapalli
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-4 W
29/07 Maddison Inglis
WTA Vancouver · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
11/07 Katie Volynets
WTA Newport · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
10/07 Madison Brengle
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 13-5 W
09/07 Darja Vidmanova
WTA Newport · Grass
2-1 17-13 W
09/07 Mei Yamaguchi
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
24/06 Iryna Shymanovich
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Fiona Ferro
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
11/06 Robin Montgomery
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
09/06 Janice Tjen
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 13-7 W

Carmen Gallardo Guevara

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Lucia Cortez Llorca
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-6 W
30/07 Francesca Curmi
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Matilde Jorge
W100 Gran Canaria
1-1 15-14 W
26/07 Kristina Novak
W15 Gran Canaria
2-1 17-12 W
25/07 Shannon Lam
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Lucia Natal
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-5 W
22/07 Carlotta Moccia
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-7 W
15/07 Kira Pavlova
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 5-12 L
06/07 Elyse Tse
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 6-12 L
05/07 Maxine Murphy
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Greet Minnen vs Carmen Gallardo Guevara?

Our model gives 69% to Greet Minnen, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.