Tennis · W75 Ourense · 07/08, 12:00
Prediction: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Alicia Dudeney
Team pages: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva · Alicia Dudeney
Prediction summary
Winner
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Alicia Dudeney
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
5-5 (W-L)
Alicia Dudeney
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
0–1
Alicia Dudeney
(1 last)
- 29 Jul1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 1500 · Alicia Dudeney 1581
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Alicia Dudeney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Dudeney (rating 1500 vs 1581).
- Alicia Dudeney is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 0–1 Alicia Dudeney (1).
- Note: Alicia Dudeney makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Alicia Dudeney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.3 | 12.6-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 0 – 1 Alicia Dudeney (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 0–1 Alicia Dudeney
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/26 W50 Dublin | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Yasmine Kabbaj W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Anna Kubareva W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Valentina Losciale W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/07 | Alicia Dudeney W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/06 | JiaYi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alicia Dudeney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Camilla Zanolini W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 18/07 | Naiktha Bains W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Hannah Klugman W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Victoria Allen W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Clara Vlasselaer W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Tegan Bush W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Alycia Parks Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Alicia Dudeney?
Our model gives 67% to Alicia Dudeney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.