Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsuda
Team pages: Paul Inchauspe · Koki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Paul Inchauspe
Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Paul Inchauspe
5-5 (W-L)
Koki Matsuda
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paul Inchauspe 1564 · Koki Matsuda 1577
| Paul Inchauspe | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Paul Inchauspe | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-12.3 | 12.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paul Inchauspe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 22/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Hugo Grenier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Cem Ilkel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Karan Singh Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 11/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 59% to Paul Inchauspe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.