Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhard
Team pages: Damir Dzumhur · Mathys Erhard
Prediction summary
Winner
Damir Dzumhur
Mathys Erhard
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Damir Dzumhur
7-3 (W-L)
Mathys Erhard
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Damir Dzumhur 1544 · Mathys Erhard 1539
| Damir Dzumhur | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Damir Dzumhur | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.6 | 12.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Damir Dzumhur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 15/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 11-21 | L |
| 23/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Mathys Erhard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Thilo Behrmann M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhard?
Our model gives 65% to Damir Dzumhur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.