Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 05/08, 11:00
Prediction: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski
Team pages: Alejandro Moro Canas · Alexander Donski
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moro Canas
Alexander Donski
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moro Canas
6-4 (W-L)
Alexander Donski
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moro Canas 1534 · Alexander Donski 1540
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Alexander Donski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alexander Donski dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 43.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Alejandro Moro Canas | Alexander Donski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-13.7 | 11.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 27.8% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Harold Mayot Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Francisco Comesana Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Alexander Donski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Jiri Cizek Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Erik Grevelius Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski?
Our model gives 62% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.