Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 05/08, 11:00
Prediction: Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri
Team pages: Viktor Durasovic · Andrea Guerrieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Viktor Durasovic
Andrea Guerrieri
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Viktor Durasovic
6-4 (W-L)
Andrea Guerrieri
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viktor Durasovic 1559 · Andrea Guerrieri 1495
| Viktor Durasovic | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viktor Durasovic (rating 1559 vs 1495).
- Viktor Durasovic dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 45% break avg.
- Note: Viktor Durasovic makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Viktor Durasovic | Andrea Guerrieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.9 | 10.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 45% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viktor Durasovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Davide Tortora M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Daniel Jade M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 16/07 | Arthur Bonnaud M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Arthur Laborde M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Andrea Guerrieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Luca Nardi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | David Goffin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri?
Our model gives 57% to Andrea Guerrieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.