Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Tiago Pereira vs Max Basing
Team pages: Tiago Pereira · Max Basing
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Pereira
Max Basing
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Max Basing
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Pereira 1565 · Max Basing 1524
| Tiago Pereira | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Pereira (rating 1565 vs 1524).
- Note: Max Basing makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Pereira | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-10 | 13.2-13.7 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 78.6% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 29.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Alan Wazny M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Massimo Pizzigoni M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Jan Hrazdil M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Max Basing
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 3-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Pereira vs Max Basing?
Our model gives 51% to Tiago Pereira, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.