Tennis · Challenger Istanbul · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Akira Santillan vs Antoine Ghibaudo
Team pages: Akira Santillan · Antoine Ghibaudo
Prediction summary
Winner
Akira Santillan
Antoine Ghibaudo
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Akira Santillan
3-7 (W-L)
Antoine Ghibaudo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Akira Santillan 1544 · Antoine Ghibaudo 1473
| Akira Santillan | Antoine Ghibaudo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Akira Santillan (rating 1544 vs 1473).
- Akira Santillan is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Akira Santillan makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Akira Santillan | Antoine Ghibaudo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.1 | 10.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 45% | 22% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Akira Santillan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Alejandro Lopez Escribano Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Antoine Ghibaudo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dan Added Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Lui Maxted Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/05 | James Watt Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Akira Santillan vs Antoine Ghibaudo?
Our model gives 53% to Akira Santillan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.