Tennis · Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz Berkieta
Team pages: Michele Ribecai · Tomasz Berkieta
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Ribecai
Tomasz Berkieta
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Ribecai
7-3 (W-L)
Tomasz Berkieta
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1439 · Tomasz Berkieta 1530
| Michele Ribecai | Tomasz Berkieta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomasz Berkieta (rating 1439 vs 1530).
- Tomasz Berkieta is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Michele Ribecai | Tomasz Berkieta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 22% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12 | 10.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 37% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Hugo Dellien ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Tomasz Berkieta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Dominik Kellovsky Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Liam Gavrielides M15 Uslar |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Vito Tonejc M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Leyton Rivera M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz Berkieta?
Our model gives 50% to Michele Ribecai, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.