Tennis · W15 Astana · 05/08, 07:00
Prediction: Sandugash Kenzhibayeva vs Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Team pages: Sandugash Kenzhibayeva · Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Prediction summary
Winner
Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
2-8 (W-L)
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandugash Kenzhibayeva 1450 · Liel Marlies Rothensteiner 1532
| Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liel Marlies Rothensteiner (rating 1450 vs 1532).
- Liel Marlies Rothensteiner is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sandugash Kenzhibayeva makes many double faults (6.8/match).
- Note: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Sandugash Kenzhibayeva | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.5 | 9.5-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 52.9% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maria Mikhailova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Astana |
1-2 | 6-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Nina Sozaonova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ada Kumru W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 17/06 | Marina Markina W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Alina Tikhonova W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Daria Kuznetsova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Polina Sleptsova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Linara Bulesheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Aisulu Zholbolat W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Aneta Laboutkova W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Yasmine Douyeb W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Carolina Dibenedetto W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandugash Kenzhibayeva vs Liel Marlies Rothensteiner?
Our model gives 55% to Liel Marlies Rothensteiner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.