Tennis · W15 Astana · 05/08, 07:00
Prediction: Haruna Arakawa vs Anna Bazderova
Team pages: Haruna Arakawa · Anna Bazderova
Prediction summary
Winner
Haruna Arakawa
Anna Bazderova
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Haruna Arakawa
4-6 (W-L)
Anna Bazderova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haruna Arakawa 1476 · Anna Bazderova 1579
| Haruna Arakawa | Anna Bazderova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Bazderova (rating 1476 vs 1579).
- Anna Bazderova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Anna Bazderova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Haruna Arakawa | Anna Bazderova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.6 | 11.3-7.3 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 53.7% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haruna Arakawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W15 Astana |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Misaki Matsuda ITF W35 Hamamatsu |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/10 | Katherine Sebov ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Nadia Lagaev ITF W75 Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Amelia Rajecki ITF W75 Saguenay · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Anna Bazderova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Nelli Ivanova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Albina Kakenova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Kira Bataikina W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Valeriia Krokhotina W15 Astana |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Ximena Senties W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/05 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 30/05 | Mirjana Jovanovic W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Daria Kuznetsova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/05 | Armine Yesaian W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Sofia Rocchetti W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haruna Arakawa vs Anna Bazderova?
Our model gives 50% to Haruna Arakawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.