Tennis · W75 Ourense · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Yashina vs Alicia Dudeney
Team pages: Ekaterina Yashina · Alicia Dudeney
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Yashina
Alicia Dudeney
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Yashina
5-5 (W-L)
Alicia Dudeney
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Yashina 1491 · Alicia Dudeney 1536
| Ekaterina Yashina | Alicia Dudeney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alicia Dudeney (rating 1491 vs 1536).
- Note: Ekaterina Yashina makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Alicia Dudeney makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Yashina | Alicia Dudeney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.6 | 11.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 70% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Yashina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Anna Orlando Pellicero W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/08 | Carlota Corte W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Lina Glushko WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Jing-Jing Lu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Junhan Zhang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Ran Yang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Shiyu Ye W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Alicia Dudeney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 18/07 | Naiktha Bains W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Hannah Klugman W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Victoria Allen W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Clara Vlasselaer W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Tegan Bush W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Alycia Parks Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Yashina vs Alicia Dudeney?
Our model gives 75% to Alicia Dudeney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.