Tennis · W75 Ourense · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Anna Kubareva
Team pages: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva · Anna Kubareva
Prediction summary
Winner
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Anna Kubareva
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
4-6 (W-L)
Anna Kubareva
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 1489 · Anna Kubareva 1575
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Anna Kubareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Kubareva (rating 1489 vs 1575).
- Anna Kubareva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Anna Kubareva makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Anna Kubareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.6 | 11.8-8.2 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 56% | 39.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Valentina Losciale W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/07 | Alicia Dudeney W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/06 | JiaYi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Yexin Ma W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Rina Saigo W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Anna Kubareva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Alice Ferlito W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Min Liu W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Hina Inoue W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Miroslava Medvedeva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Ayla Aksu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Aliona Falei W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Ru Xi Wu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Anna Kubareva?
Our model gives 55% to Anna Kubareva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.