Tennis · W75 Ourense · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Maria Toma vs Xinyu Gao
Team pages: Maria Toma · Xinyu Gao
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Toma
Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Toma
6-4 (W-L)
Xinyu Gao
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Toma 1517 · Xinyu Gao 1544
| Maria Toma | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria Toma makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Maria Toma | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.4 | 10.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Toma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Esther Lopez Alcaraz W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Aranai Martinez Quintana W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Nagi Hanatani W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Neus Torner Sensano W50 Horb |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Horb |
1-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Veena Mariam Nazar W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Khrystyna Vozniak W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-0 | 12-8 | W |
Xinyu Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Han Shi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Toma vs Xinyu Gao?
Our model gives 73% to Xinyu Gao, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.